Last updated on 09 June, 2022, 10:28:17 AM.

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This website has forecasts of hospitalization counts from COVID-19 and wastewater recovery of SARS-CoV-2.

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Click here to access the COVID-19 Daily Dashboard created by Ottawa Public Health. The Ottawa Public Health dashboard provides up to date COVID-19 metrics that inform projections presented on this website.

Dashboard

Data to 2022-06-06

Current

Case halving time: 11000 days *

Rt: 0.59 *

14 confirmed COVID-19 patients in hospital.

Including 12 acute care patients. 2 ICU patients.

* Based on health care worker absenteeism due to COVID-19.

Observed cases & hospital use

Note: New cases are based on approximate date of episode. Case data in the last 7 days should be considered preliminary as as public health investigators determine earliest onset date.

Observed COVID-19 cases in health care workers in Ottawa by episode date

Note: The health care worker cases (per 1000 people) are the number of hospital staff who reported a positive PCR or RAT for selected hospitals and health care organizations. These are people who notified Occupational Health of their positive result. Observed COVID-19 cases are adjusted for under-reporting for staff working from home and not providing direct patient care.

Cumulative incidence of COVID-19 positive staff

Note: The cumulative health care worker cases (per 1000 people) is the cumulative incidence or total proportion of health care workers who reported a positive PCR or RAT for selected hospitals and health care organizations since December 26, 2021. These are people who notified Occupational Health of their positive result. Observed COVID-19 cases are adjusted for under-reporting for staff working from home and not providing direct patient care.

Note: As per Ottawa Public Health, hospital data reflecting the past 3-5 days should be considered preliminary as data is still being received and entered for this time period.

Projection of hospital census in Ottawa

Projection of hospital census in Ottawa are presented below. See Methods for how the projections where created. Short-term projections can trend in different directions when there are changing patterns of community COVID-19 transmission. For example, predicted hospital counts can be underestimated during periods of rapid re-opening.

Projection of COVID-19 positive health care workers in Ottawa

Note: The health care worker cases (per 1000 people) are the number of hospital staff who reported a positive PCR or RAT for selected hospitals and health care organizations. These are people who notified Occupational Health of their positive result. Observed COVID-19 cases are adjusted for under-reporting for staff working from home and not providing direct patient care.

Rt Projection of COVID-19 positive health care workers in Ottawa

Definitions

Hospital count is the count of patients in all Ottawa hospitals at midnight on the previous day. Ottawa Public Health counts and hospital counts reported from other sources may be different because:

  • Hospital counts from other sources may include people who do not reside in Ottawa;
  • Interpretation of clearance may vary between hospitals and Ottawa Public Health;
  • Interpretation of treated for COVID-19 and being treated primarily for COVID-19 may vary slightly; and
  • Ottawa Public Health workload may delay the clearance of hospitalizations in preference to reporting new ones by Ottawa Public Health when volumes are high.

Transmission is the risk that a person becomes infected when they come in contact with a person with COVID-19.

Doubling time refers to the time it takes for the number of hospitalized patients to double in number. Conversely, halving time refers to the time it takes for the number of hospitalized patients to halve in number.

Daily growth is the rate of change in the hospitalization from day-to-day.